CareerBuilder Challenge: Betting Preview & Tips
Already the third official PGA stop of the year, our CareerBuilder betting preview has provided some excellent betting opportunities in recent years.
While LetsTalkGolf has found some profitable picks in the 2015 and 2016 editions of this tournament, the field this year looks a lot wider and much more difficult to predict. So it’s lucky we’ve got a few top notch prospects to chew through this week.
The Stadium Course was designed by Pete Dye in 1986 and it measures 7,300 yards, Par 72, although organisers might not play it that long this week.
The two other courses also used during the first three rounds, the Nicklaus Course and La Quinta Country Club aren’t difficult. Expect plenty of birdies during the first three rounds.
Once again this event looks like an in-play betting dream.
Players will score heavily on the easier two courses and not so much on the Stadium course, so the draw will have an effect on the market.
That said, conditions look pretty benign, no wind, 48 degrees and clear blue skies, so low scoring is going to be a must. Anyone who dares to start slowly is going to find playing catch up to be a very difficult mountain to climb.
Previous CareerBuilder Challenge Winning Odds
A pretty diverse bunch of winners I think you’ll agree:
- 2017 – (-20) Hudson Swafford 50/1
- 2016 – (-25) Jason Dufner 40/1
- 2015 – (-22) Bill Haas 25/1
- 2014 – (-28) Patrick Reed 135/1
- 2013 – (-25) Brian Gay 80/1
CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Preview
Once upon a time (not) long ago, Jon Rahm (9/1) was just an amateur with plenty of talent, a bagful of bluster and a lot of noise surrounding him.
Fast forward just two short years and he’s installed as the tournament favourite and the best thing since sliced tapas, and all that noise justified.
He’s the only member of the OWGR Top 15 in sight and comes in off the back of a T2 in the Hyundai ToC.
However, single figure odds may be too much of a risk this week in an event he’s only played once when finishing T34 last year.
Next up in the market is lefty Brian Harman (16/1), whose odds might well make you double-take Blackadder-style.
However there’s a good reason that Harman is suddenly trading this close to the top of the betting market.
After getting back to winning ways again in the Wells Fargo last year, he’s been a consideration for golf bettors ever since.
Last week’s Top 5 backed up another at the Hyundai. So he comes in with plenty of recent form. Add in a dose of course form – T11 in 2016 and T3 in 2017 – and he might be significantly more fanciable than Rahm this week!
Also looking to make a play for a fast start in the desert is previous winner Patrick Reed (22/1) who won in 2014, but hasn’t cracked the Top 10 here since.
Bill Haas, winner in 2015 is back again looking for a third title. He has five Top 10s in the last eight years here. While defending champion Hudson Swafford (50/1) can be found at further down.
CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Tips
ZACH JOHNSON 28/1 – ZJ has had something like the perfect consistent season so far. Results that read T13-T23-T8-T14 are the kind of results I used to dream of when my younger self dreams of being the consummate journeyman professional golfer.
If the courses play big-boy pitch and putt like they have the last few years, it should suit Zach perfectly; he’s one of the best wedge-players in the game.
OK, so he’s missed the cut in the last three years, but before that he was T3 in 2014, and T23 the year before that. I’m going for experience over power for my first pick.
PATTON KIZZIRE 28/1 – The General to go back-to-back? You better believe it! Last week’s Sony open winner made it two wins in his last four appearances in the 2017-18 season and out of six starts has only finished outside the Top 15 once! So 28/1 represents something like good odds this week.
This has already been a breakout season for the Georgian native and he sits pretty at the top of the FedExCup standings. If Justin Thomas’s season is anything to go by, winning in multiples early in the season, especially on the West Coast, should be expected. Remember Jimmy Walker did something similar in 2014 too!
ADAM HADWIN 50/1 – Last year was full of 59s, and one of them, overshadowed by Justin Thomas’s the previous week in Hawaii, was Hadwin’s in the CareerBuilder last year. It took him into the final round with a lead that he didn’t quite keep, eventually finishing 2nd to Swafford. However, this result was on the back of a T6 in the 2016 edition which indicates there’s much about this new set up that he likes. Throw in a T48 the year before that and here’s a player that might well be throwing his proverbial weight around the betting places come Sunday.
JHONATTAN VEGAS 60/1 – This tournament does like a multiple winner, think Billy Casper, Arnold Palmer, Johnny Miller, John Mahaffey, Corey Pavin, Jon Cook, Phil Mickelson and Bill Haas, so maybe it isn’t so outlandish to pick Vegas who triumphed here in 2011. His other two wins both came at the RBC Canadian, so previous good memories clearly matter to the beefy Venezuelan.
So far this year his results indicate plenty and they are highlighted by a T20 at the WGC-HSBC and a T7 at the Hyundai ToC. He’s been pretty consistent Tee To Green, as well as Putting and these are two major indicators of the winner in this tournament.
CareerBuilder Challenge Betting
|Zach Johnson||28/1||1.5 pts E/W|
|Patton Kizzire||28/1||1 pt E/W|
|Jhonattan Vegas||60/1||1 pt E/W|
|Adam Hadwin||50/1||1.5 pts E/W|
|2017-2018 Results||+/- +94.3 points|
All odds taken from 888sport.com, 1/45 odds 1,2,3,4,5,6 correct at time of writing.
Which is ok from a tenner a week eh?