Farmers Insurance Open Betting Tips
Tiger’s back. There really isn’t any more we can say. Can we? Well, yes ‘cos we’ve got some more winning Farmers Insurance Open betting tips, live from the home of Dick Fowler PI!
Last week, on our first outing of 2018, we picked up on the awesome from of Adam Hadwin at the CareerBuilder Challenge to cash in another 50/1 Each Way and we have some pretty nice previous here too winning with Brandt Snedeker in 2016 and Jason Day in 2015.
Torrey Pines isn’t the easiest course the players will face on the West Coast Swing this year, but if the wind drops and the rain stays away, it’ll still need at least three strong rounds of golf to win and the weather isn’t going to be as big of a factor this time.
The South Course is a gut-busting 7,698 yards par 72 and the North Course a much more manageable 7,258 yard par 72. And after the storms of 2016, both courses have become even less cluttered by trees, leaving it much more open and exposed than ever before.
Prepare for some early morning fog rolling in off Monterrey Bay, perhaps a delayed start even, not good if you fancy staying up to watch the final day’s action on Sunday night as Tiger rolls back the years to record the biggest comeback win of his career…oh, I see you’ve already fallen asleep!
Of course, Tiger isn’t going to win this, so we’ll stay away from this lap cat, unless you fancy a flutter on him missing the cut at 5/4 with bet635. Because he certainly did last year!
Previous Farmers Insurance Open Winning Odds
Bubba Watson, Jason Day, John Rahm and Tiger (in his prime) have all won here suggesting that having a bit of length in the locker can be an advantage worth having.
- 2017 – (-13) John Rahm 55/1
- 2016 – (-6) Brandt Snedeker 18/1
- 2015 – (-9) Jason Day 14/1
- 2014 – (-9) Scott Stallings 200/1
- 2013 – (-15) Tiger Woods 7/1
Farmers Insurance Open Betting Blog
The top three in the betting once again look like being the men to be on, but with such a huge amount of form available, are they really the men to back or is there more value elsewhere?
Last week was another one for the favourites this season, the seventh time a favourite has finished in the money spots.
So the big question is, will defending champion Rahm be the man to follow again this time around?
He came in at a whopping 55/1 for his first PGA win in 2017 and coming off the back of a 9/1 victory in the desert last week he is down to lip-curling 7/1,
Next up is Rickie Fowler at 11/1, who arrives with his alter ego Dick Fowler PI in tow ready to kick off his season with an early win. Is this going to be the year that Rickie wins a major? If he does, he must start a winning habit early, and this course is a major winning test!
This time last year Hideki was all conquering, ready to lead Japan’s charge fo a first ever major title. Turns out he peaked too soon. But the OWGR #5 still packs a dangerous punch.
Further down the betting order and the names of Justin Rose 16/1, Jason Day 20/1 and Patrick Reed 60/1 might be tempting.
But there are other payers that certainly like the look of this course and one of them is Charlie Howell III 40/1, with a pair of Top 5s in the last three years and a Top 10 in 2013. Marc Leishman 20/1 is another that must think this is a course he can do well at with Top 10s in 2010, 2011 and 2014 too.
And we can’t leave without mentioning that Tiger woods is available at 22/1, if you dare!
CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Tips
I’ve gone with three Aussies and a texan this week, if the wind doth blow in any degree, they all have the temperament and the skills to overcome it.
CHARLEY HOFFMAN 60/1 – Charley is a temperamental horse. When given too much exposure he can bolt like a Texan colt. Which is why I think he has a chance around the La Jolla links.
He had one of his best years on Tour last season without winning and that’s why I’m back on him at 60/1. Not a regular winner, but regular enough for the bookies to let their guard down on his odds.
Previous performances around here include T7 in 2014 and his early season form of T18 at the Shriners and a missed cut in Mayakoba, might just be the hors d’ouevre to another surprise win.
MARC LEISHMAN 20/1 – I love the Leish, I’m not going to deny it, he’s a player who’s card i have always marked when it comes to the West Coast Swing. One day he’ll win a major, no one will see it coming though, that’s the kind of player he is.
I didn’t really fancy his 20/1 odds this week, but I’d earmarked him around Torrey for a while now. He’s already pitched in with two Top 10s this season from just four starts, so we know he’s happy with his game. He must know his way around Torrey Pines by now, he’s had three Top 10s with a best finish of T2 in 2010 and again in 2014.
JASON DAY 20/1 – Jason Day just loves the early season West Coast air. He’s had a whole bunch of top finishes at this time of the year and he won here in style in 2015.
Since winning the US PGA, Day has rather turned to night for the OWGR #13 player. But no one doubt his class, and form can change quickly. So far this season, in two starts he’s posted T11 in both. While his form at Torrey is generally good he missed the cut the last two years right after winning it. But he had to solid Top 10s in the two years prior.
I think it’s time Day came back in to the limelight and I think his length here will help.
AARON BADDELEY 250/1 – Has a tendency to go well here, but has struggled for any kind of consistency this season, hitting a season high of T10 at the Shriners among a handful of missed cuts.
What I like about Badds here is that he does like what he sees at Torrey Pines, and this, alongside the Genesis open he won a few years back at Riviera, count as the two full-field courses he is likely to do well at. Which indicates his pretty wild odds of 250/1 this week. Previous finished here include; T27-T6-74-MC-T8-MC. he’s a long shot, but he’s a long shot with 4 career PGA victories.
CareerBuilder Challenge Betting
|Jason Day||20/1||1.5 pts E/W|
|Marc Leishman||20/1||1.5 pts E/W|
|Charley Hoffman||60/1||1 pt E/W|
|Aaron Baddeley||250/1||1 pt E/W|
|2017-2018 Results||+/- +94.3 points|
All odds taken from bet365.com, 1/4 odds 1,2,3,4,5 correct at time of writing.
Which is ok from a tenner a week eh?