The Masters Tournament Betting Preview & Tips
The first major of the year has finally arrived. This is the 2018 Masters Tournament betting preview.
This year we are looking forward to one of the most hotly anticipated Masters very years. So many players looking good and a return of Tiger too.
Last Week In Review
Before we take a look at The masters Tournament betting, what a week for Ian Poulter!
In the Masters field one minute, out the next and already packing a bag ready for an early Houston Open exit after an opening 73. It takes something special to dig deep into talent reserves and come out all guns blazing, shoot three rounds of 64, 65 and 67 to not just win but collect the very last Masters invite too.
It wasn’t just another trip to Augusta, it puts Poults firmly back into the Top 50 in the OWGR and it secures his Tour Card until the 2020 (perhaps also making a strong claim for Ryder Cup selection too?).
For our picks, it was a week of nearlies. Stenson (T6) was thereabouts, so too was Henley (T8) and JB (T32) recovered well from a slow start, while it turns out Dufner (T64) really didn’t give a f**k by slowing down and putting his game into reverse over the weekend to finish somewhere near the rear of the pack.
The Masters Tournament is the only major to be played on the same course every year, so we should have a pretty clear idea of what it takes to win here.
Surprisingly, the most fiddled with of courses remains the same length as last year: 7,435 yards long, par 72. The stroke average last year was almost 74 (73.89), so expect the winning score to remain somewhere near or just shy of 10-under.
As usual, par 5 scoring will be crucial; all four are birdie opportunities. However players will need to avoid dropping shots on the par 3s as each of those is a potential bogey. Therefore Scrambling for birdies and Scrambling for pars will be paramount.
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Experience around Augusta is also a key trait, well known to most, but it’s also the case that players with limited experience also do well too; Woods, Spieth, Willett have all won within their first two or three visits.
Previous Masters Tournament Winning Odds
Outsiders don’t often win here, and you’d Be hard pressed to make the claims of a triple figure price winning. However, OWGR #1s don’t win here either!
- 2017 – (-9) Sergio Garcia 45/1
- 2016 – (-5) Danny Willett 66/1
- 2015 – (-18) Jordan Spieth 11/1
- 2014 – (-8) Bubba Watson 28/1
- 2013 – (-9) Adam Scott 25/1
Masters Tournament Betting Blog
Two the last five tournaments have ended in a playoff, and I half expect the same to happen again too this time around. Ideally it would be a three-way between McIlroy, Spieth and Bubba…I’ll let you decide the winner!
This year, the Masters really does feel extra special, players like Jason Day, Bubba Watson, Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas, Phil Mickelson, Dustin Johnson, Justin Rose and Jon Rahm have already picked up wins and will feel form is on their side.
For British golf fans there is much to look forward to. Three of the last four PGA Tournaments have resulted in success with Paul Casey at the Valspar, Rory at Bay Hill and Ian Poulter collecting some silver in Texas last Sunday.
There are a lot of back stories surrounding this year’s Masters.
The biggest, of course, is Tiger Woods’s return to golf, return to form and return to the hearts and minds of golf fans. Like him or not, golf has been elevated in the media and public conscience because of it. As too the Masters.
Finishes of T2 at the Valspar, T5 at the Arnold Palmer and a 12th at the Honda Classic from just five PGA events have rightfully shortened his odds. But is 12/1 too short?
Leading the betting right now:
Rory McIlroy 10/1
Jordan Spieth 10/1
Dustin Johnson 11/1
Justin Thomas 11/1
Tiger Woods 12/1
Justin Rose 14/1
Bubba Watson 16/1
Phil Mickelson 18/1
Jason Day 18/1
Rickie Fowler 20/1
Jon Rahm 22/1
While defending champ Sergio Garcia is at 28/1.
If you are a stats monkey then the ones to concentrate on have to be Scrambling and GIR. If you hit the greens then putts will drop, but undoubtedly, the slopes and contours of Augusta National will leave some awkward recovery shots to negotiate.
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Masters Tournament Betting Tips
In a change to the usual practice of looking at previous course form, we aren’t this time. We’re looking at recent form, trending results and outright value for money where the betting places go all the way up to 10 paying places!
BUBBA WATSON 16/1 – Forget “Tiger’s Back”, for me it’s “Bubba’s Back”. Last year proved a poor one from this often misunderstood golfing genius.
If he was French, he’d be called mercurial, but he’s American and his natural charm is so often lost on observers. Not me though! The two-time champion has already secured a pair of wins on the PGA Tour; ominous form for a player who just loves it at Augusta.
Most notably for this punter, his wedge-play, putting and ability to get up-and-down look as strong as ever. The best lag putter in the game looks like a shrewd choice once again just behind the more fancied leaders.
TOMMY FLEETWOOD 45/1 – Sometimes the Masters produces a surprise British winner. Like Woosnam, Faldo and Lyle, Fleetwood has also found himself nearing the Top 10 of the OWGR and could well be the next Danny Willett (albeit a little bit more humble and with better hair).
Fleetwood has looked good in the US this year with performances that have actually been a lot better than his eventual finishing position
With six appearances on the PGA Tour he hasn’t finished worse than T37 including a 4th at the Honda Classic, three Top 20s in the WGCs and also a T3 at the unofficial Hero ‘World’ Challenge.
Tommy is one of those players that just doesn’t have any weaknesses in his game. Interestingly, he’s 12th in SG around the green. If he can keep it together for four rounds, I fully expect him to make a challenge against the McIlroys and Fowlers et al at some point in the majors.
If he does, he can become a leading player for some time, but he needs to breakthrough first. For a European there’s nowhere like Augusta to do it.
ALEX NOREN 45/1 – If anyone deserves an American breakthrough it’s Alex Noren. So close to winning at the Farmers (T2), The Honda (3) and he’d have given Bubba a run for his money had he got through his semi-final against Kevin Kisner before finishing 3rd at the WGC Matchplay.
No missed cuts from eight PGA Tour appearances and a worst finish of T36 at Bay Hill, this could be the second Swedish major winner-in-the-waiting – if he can ride his current 18-month form to greater things.
As far as putting goes, he’s by far the classiest holer-out (a made up golfing term that seems apt here) I’ve seen on Tour this season – surprisingly only 17th in SG Putting. He’s also played some of the tougher tests out on Tour this season and fared well (Torrey Pines & PGA National), currently averaging a 4th best 69.45 stroke average.
There are few tougher tests in the modern game than Augusta and it’ll take a sensible head on stoic and resilient shoulders to fare well…something Swedes are uniquely suited to.
MATT KUCHAR 50/1 – I’ve never really considered Kuch for a major before, but with the re-emergence of Woods, Poulter’s win last week and the welcome return of a winning Phil Mickelson, I believe Kuch might just find some self belief as part of the same 40+ generation.
At some point he’s going to man up and get the major no one in the world of golf could begrudge him for. Like Fleetwood, there are no weaknesses in Kuch’s game. Shorter hitters like it around Augusta where wedge play counts double.
With three Top 10s already this season the Money-Maker already has his eye in. A sneaky T8 in Houston followed a good showing at the WGC Matchplay indicates a game that is trending upwards in time for the Masters. He also has one of the best short games in the world
He’s a Georgia Tech alumni, so this should also be his ‘home’ major!
Masters Tournament Betting
|Bubba Watson||16/1||2 pts WIN/strong>|
|Tommy Fleetwood||45/1||1 pt E/W|
|Alex Noren||45/1||1 pt E/W|
|Matt Kuchar||50/1||2 pts E/W|
|2017-2018 Results||+/- +109.3 points|
All odds taken from bet365.com, 1/5 odds 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8 correct at time of writing.
Total Staked in 2017-18 – £110.00
Total Returns – £219.30