Sanderson Farms Championship: Betting Preview & Tips
Does anyone else have a massive urge for crispy chicken coated in a secret recipe? Just me? No matter. Here’s our Sanderson Farms betting preview complete with tips, dips and a cock-shaped trophy!
Playing second fiddle this week to the corresponding WGC-HSBC Champions event in China, this, though, will offer a whole lot more value for money than either that in Shanghai or what you can expect from that money-grabbing Colonel Sanders
This event is into its fourth year at the Country Club of Jackson, a track designed by the infamous Dick Wilson*. So we should have developed a sense of what type of winner to expect on a course measuring a pretty respectable 7,354 yards – par 72.
We’re on Bermuda this week and most of the greens have various run offs which will cause the biggest test for golfers.
It’s going to be an old fashioned, typical back and forth sort of layout with a few lakes and some generous fairways. If you do miss one though, there’s a pretty good chance you’ll land on an adjacent fairway and still have a pretty decent line into the green.
Expect another low scoring event.
Previous Sanderson Farms Championship Winner Odds
Previous winners haven’t been easy to spot – being well down the betting list, but that just makes it all the more tempting to have a punt on one doesn’t it?
- 2016 – (-20) Cody Gribble 100/1
- 2015 – (-18) Peter Malnati 250/1/1
- 2014 – (-16) Nick Taylor 400/1
- 2013 – (-20) Woody Austin 125/1 (at Annandale Golf Club
- 2012 – (-21) Scott Stallings 100/1 (at Annandale Golf Club)
Sanderson Farms Championship Betting Blog
This is an event where winners arrive at huge odds. Mainly due to the very best either playing in a bigger event elsewhere or choosing to take a rest. Therefore it’s a chance for some of the lesser lights to earn themselves a two-year exemption, in what amounts to a glorified Web.com event.
Last year it was Cody Gribble’s turn at the rookie-wheel-of-fortune. Few expected the left-hander to win, but then few suspected Peter Malnati to win the year before either. And in 2014 it was Nick Taylor who wrote the winning rookie formula.”I hated the Colonel with his wee beady eyes and that smug look on his face ‘Oh you’re going to buy my chicken’, because he puts an addictive chemical in his chicken that makes ya crave it fortnightly!” – Mike Myers, So I Married An Axe Murderer
So, three rookies in a row?
Yep. You’re right. We have to be looking at a talented rookie, hoping to make name for themselves. But the trouble is, every f***ing rookie out there is looking to make a name for themselves!
Top of the betting market is Chesson Hadley (20/1), who opened up with a solid T3 at the Safeway Open a few weeks ago. Then we have William McGirt (22/1) who was T2 here in 2015 and 7th in 2014, followed by Kevin Streelman 22/1) and my old favourite Jason Kokrak (25/1) on whom I have lost many a bet!
Sanderson Farms Championship Betting Picks
Defending champion Cody Gribble doesn’t look attractive in any way, with no form whatsoever and little chance of repeating his breakout success here last year – the bookies don’t much fancy him either putting him way out at 70/1.
So, with all said and done, who are we backing this week?
STEPHAN JAEGER – Is this another German in the mould of Bernhard Langer or Martin Kaymer? Neither really, but Jaeger’s results on the Web.com Tour deserve some attention.
He won twice in the middle of the season, all but cementing his PGA Tour card and it’s understandable that after doing so he might have gone off the boil somewhat. Now 4/5 missed cuts to finish the season might be more instant freeze than off the boil, but once he made the start list on the PGA Tour, he came right out without misfire – no over par rounds in a T30 finish at the Safeway Open.
He’s one whose strength lies in his putting, and when you get to birdie-fest course like CC of Jackson it’s all about the putting. Last year, he managed to get in on a sponsors invite but missed the cut, so he also has some course knowledge, for what it’s worth here. Oh and he shot 58 last year too!
Besides, it’s time another German came along. Isn’t it?
HUNTER MAHAN – After the ignominy of having to head back to the Web.com Tour in a vain attempt to regain his tour card (sans exemptions), Mahan, who has 6 PGA victories, returned to the PGA Tour with a pretty respectable T13 at the Safeway Open (via a Past Champion Exemption).
Last season he made just 10 of 26 cuts and looked incredibly out of sorts. But if his first start of the 2017-18 campaign is anything to go on, he might yet be heading back to better days.
Chief of the reasons for his return to the Top 20 was his putting and iron play. Both stats already look much improved from last year and he even lead the field putting at one point in Napa. I’m sure given a sniff of another win he’ll grab it with both hands.
I for one would like to be on him while he’s still at 66/1 rather than wait until I tell myself, ‘I told you so’.
TYLER DUNCAN – He gave himself a great chance at the Safeway Open and found himself the 54 hole leader. This diminutive (he’s only 5’7”) American was a Web.com Tour moneymaker (if that exists) last season, finishing 31st in the rankings without a victory to his name.
This fact probably helped explain his final round 75 in Napa, but let’s not focus on the negatives, his result in Napa WAS exactly the sort of result a winning rookie here has under his belt.
So. Is this just a random punt?
Not exactly, but could we have identified Taylor, Malnati or Gribble any easier?
ZAC BLAIR – This kid has a lot of potential and for two rounds (69-66) at the Safeway Open I thought I was on to something at 200/1. Unfortunately, he fell away badly over the weekend (74-74) finishing T30, but my interest in him isn’t going to wane.
Has only one previous appearance at the Sanderson Farms, missing the cut in 2014, but as we see from the winners roster, previous course form isn’t that important here.
Zac’s biggest strength is around the greens and with the run offs surrounding them he’ll be right at home missing greens.
Sanderson Farms Championship Betting
|Tyler Duncan||60/1||1.5 pts E/W|
|Zac Bair||80/1||1 pts E/W|
|Hunter Mahan||66/1||1 pts E/W|
|Stephen Jaeger||100/1||1.5 pts E/W|
|2017-2018 Results||+/- +135.3 points|
All odds taken from 888sport.com, 1/4 odds 1,2,3,4,5, correct at time of writing.
Last week Anirban Lahiri made it a third winning pick, although ‘winning’ is a bit rich when finishing T5 with five others! Still it leaves us with a huge early season +/- profit of +135.3 points.
Not bad from just a tenner a week eh?
*Thought I’d forgotten? Well for those interested, Dick Wilson also designed the original Blue Monster (in the days when anything over 6,700 yards was considered a monster), Arnie’s haunt at Bay Hill and La Costa.