WGC-HSBC Champions: Betting Preview & Tips
Welcome To China, where golf courses close down quicker than you can say socialist revolutionary anniversary. Read our WGC-HSBC Champions betting preview and tips from Sheshan International.
Both tours collide at Sheshan International Golf Club for the WGC-HSBC. It’s the end of the European Tour and the start of the PGA Tour…but, if your name’s not Rory McIlroy, does the season really ever end?
At 7,261 yards, par 72 Sheshan International Golf Club is a vast, sprawling place where holes flow up and down with big elevation changes. It weaves through trees and is routed so each hole isn’t overlooked by any other. It also has a quarry, big par 5s and plenty of water.
Curiously enough Sheshan International Golf Club is another paspalum grass course (bent grass greens) designed by Neil Haworth – the same combination found at TPC Kuala Lumpur. And we all know who the Prince of Paspalum is.
Key to scoring well around here are the Par 5s and the driveable par 4, 16th. The fairways aren’t too wide either, which is probably why the roll of winners includes Bubba and DJ.
The weather forecast looks to be good too, no significant rainfall and plenty of sunshine will set the course up beautifully this week.
Previous WGC-HSBC Champions Winner Odds
Previous winners tend to be short priced, but look at the pedigree listed below:
- 2016 – (-23) Hideki Matsuyama 20/1
- 2015 – (-20) Russell Knox 150/1
- 2014 – (-11) Bubba Watson 25/1
- 2013 – (-24) Dustin Johnson 30/1
- 2012 – (-21) Ian Poulter 15/1 (at Mission Hills)
WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Blog
Because it’s such an important event in the Race To Dubai, there’s a good chance there’ll be more motivated European Tour players than from the PGA. But as alluded in my last blog post I’m still expecting some strong performances from the travelling American players after back-to-back PGA Tour events in Asia.
Take another look at the previous winners above might offer a clue to what we might be looking for. Big names. Mid-low prices. Low scoring.
Justin Thomas, after an off week in Malaysia, was back on it again with a win in Korea, but he won’t be teeing it up in Shanghai, instead taking a deserved break.
The top of the market looks as follows: Dustin Johnson, Hideki Matsuyama, Jon Rahm, Sergio Garcia and Jason Day.
WGC-HSBC Champions Picks
Defending champion Hideki Matsuyama doesn’t look at his best, but there’s still plenty of value to be had if you can tiptoe away from the top of the betting market.
PAT PEREZ – So why not back Perez this week? His last two wins have come on paspalum grass courses, the latest in the CIMB on a course with the same designer as here.
Players on form can do funny things. Last year on the PGA Tour 4 players shared fifteen wins. So backing up one victory with another isn’t uncommon. Especially considering he backed up his win with another T5 at the CJ Cup giving us a clue he knows exactly where his game’s at.
At 41 Pat isn’t going to be letting his recent win go to his head – his mullet is handily placed to deflect any sense of self importance! But he is the kind of player that isn’t afraid to trust his swing when in the mood.
FRANCESCO MOLINARI – Look, I don’t like betting on Molinari as much as rest of you, but I can’t get away from either his form or his previous record here.
He looked good throughout Italian Open without managing to defend it successfully, eventually settling for T6. And it was only his second event since his T2 at the US PGA.
This is a course where, since 2009, he’s had tremendous success on, T9-1-T23-T21-T6 in his five appearances.
He also wisely chose to miss the Andalucia Valderrama Masters, so has the luxury of having more time to prepare and travel earlier if he wishes. So he’s well rested, has good course form and has two Top 10s in the short-term memory bank.
ROSS FISHER – Two Top 10s in his last two outings around Sheshen make Fisher a likely pick for another good finish. While his T3-T6 looks good on paper, also handy punting fodder to throw in there is his form in China which is particularly strong.
Already this year he’s picked up a T3 at the Shenzhen International and then a T6 a week later at the Volvo China Open. So is he an overly obvious pick this week? Yes. Will a great many others be on him because of it? Yes. Will that makes any difference to this golf betting blog? No.
With current form he’s definitely there, a course record three weeks ago at St Andrews will attest to that where he finished 2nd and then backed it up with a T2 in the Italian Open, losing out both times to Tyrrell Hatton. But still bagging his eighth Top 10 of the season so far.
PATRICK REED – Despite fading in Korea last time out, I’m happy to stay on Reed for all the same reasons I pointed out in my CJ Cup preview.
To recap; that’ll be Tour wins – 5; his encouraging FedExCup finish of 22nd from an ‘average’ season; and his continuing Top 20 record of 9 in his last 11 after a T11 in Jeju on Sunday.
WGC-HSBC Champions Betting
|Patrick Reed||33/1||1.5 pts E/W|
||28/1||1 pts E/W|
|Francesco Molinari||33/1||1 pts E/W|
|Pat Perez||33/1||1.5 pts E/W|
|2017-2018 Results||+/- 135.3 points|
All odds taken from 888sport.com, 1/4 odds 1,2,3,4,5, correct at time of writing.
Last week Aniban Lahiri won a small profit (overall loss though!) with a share of T5 with five others. Although tiny, it was at least three winning picks in three weeks to leave us with an early season bank that’s up +135.3 points.
Not bad from just a tenner a week eh?
View our winning (and losing) picks – LetsTalkGolf 2017-18 betting archive