Golf Betting Blog: Wells Fargo Championship
Welcome to the Wells Fargo Championship in coastal North Carolina, where defending champ James Hahn is unlikely to repeat! Just saying. Here are the LetsTalkGolf Wells Fargo betting tips:
Where Are We?
Eagle Point Golf Course has been drafted in to replace Quail Hollow for the Wells Fargo Championship this year due to the latter being the venue for the 2017 US PGA championship later in the year.
The course is a typical Tom Fazio design, 7,259 yards with a par of 72, which means he displaced a million tonnes of earth in order to create something that looks natural, but is totally unnatural
Dustin Johnson returns from his humpty-dumpty stairfall (or was he pushed?) for his first start since pulling out for The Masters last month. He is joined by six others from the OWGR Top 20: Dustin Johnson (1st), Adam Scott (11th), Alex Noren (12th), Jon Rahm (13th), Paul Casey (14th), Patrick Reed (15th) and Phil Mickelson (20th).
Also playing is last week’s pumped-up runner-up Kevin Kisner (40th), who may, or may not have some gas left in the tank after his Monday finish in New Orleans.
What’s In The Winner’s Bag?
Rumour has it that this course will be in mint condition and its bent grass greens running as quick as Augusta! So the putters in the field should be in for a treat this week. Perhaps we should be looking at a local resident; Webb Simpson would be a perfect fit…if he could putt!
Horses For Courses
Webb Simpson also lives nearby and is a member of this course, as is Carl Pettersson (‘Peeetersson’) who allegedly holds the course record!
Betting Picks & Tips – The Masters Tournament 2017
Adam Scott – After highlighting exceptional putting as a key to winning, it might seem strange to be picking Scotty. However, his strong showing at Augusta and the week before demonstrate that perfect ball striking is where the smooth-chinned Australian is at right now, and even the shortened flat stick tends to get hot for him now and then (back-to-back wins at this time last year!).
Phil Mickelson – No one has come closer to winning in this event and failed more times than Lefty. Thirteen times he’s played and thirteen cuts made alongside nine Top 10s! According to Fazio, all the bumps and slopes are designed to guide the ball towards the fairways and the greens, so this should be a fit made in heaven for Mickelson. Perhaps a change in venue can reap another tour win, long overdue. He hasn’t won since the Open in 2013, but has come close since on a number of tough tracks.
Brian Gay – Has posted a pair of Top 10s in his last two starts – both tree-lined narrow sorts of courses. After overcoming his major medical extension last season, he looks back to his best and the four time PGA Tour winner might surprise a few this week. At 45, he might be getting longer in the tooth, but that hasn’t stopped other ever-green pros from using their experience to add to the win column in the Autumn of their careers. Besides, maybe he’s due some karma back from resurrecting Ian Poulter’s PGA Tour card from the non-status pile!
Patton Kizzire – Recorded a strong finish at last week’s Zurich Classic albeit in a team competition. But credit to Patton who managed to rouse some life out of playing partner Jason Dufner for a final round 63. Kizzire has rather gone off the boil after watching his fellow Web.com graduates light up the winner’s podium. He remains a threat, after opening his season with a 2nd place finish at the Safeway Open, he missed 7/11 cuts before returning to form with T32 at the RBC and a good run at the Zurich and a T5. He looks ready to step up to the mark…or I’m jumping the gun on him. We’ll find out by Saturday!
Dustin Johnson (9/2) seems too short and Jon Rahm (11/1) likewise is clearly too short too – although ironically both really big men! Paul Casey (20/1) has just one win in eight years yet that clearly hasn’t affected his odds much! Webb Simpson (33/1) might also look to be a local favourite this week, but I don’t fancy him much on present form.
Recommended Staking Plan
Adam Scott 20/1 (BetVictor) [2 points WIN]
Phil Mickelson 25/1 (BetStars) [2 points EACH WAY]
Brian Gay 125/1 (PaddyPower) [1 point EACH WAY]
Patton Kizzire 125/1 (BetStars) [1 point EACH WAY]
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