Golf Betting Blog: The Masters Tournament
The Masters Tournament. The first major and some would say the easiest to predict. So lets give it a try, here’s our betting preview for the Masters.
Where Are We?
Augusta National has been changed, tweaked, lengthened and adjusted almost constantly over the past 50 years. It is best described by Jack Nicklaus who concludes that:
“It’s the only golf course I know that has totally changed what they have done to adjust to what’s happened with the times of the game and done it very, very well.”
The course now stretches 7,435 yards long par 72.
For the year’s first major, everyone wants to play, albeit not Tiger, who is still recovering from his back injury and won’t be able to compete on the 20th anniversary of his first major win. He’ll be sure to lurk somewhere in the magnolias signing his books, so don’t worry, he won’t escape the media spotlight.
OWGR No. 1 Dustin Johnson, looks to win for the 4th straight outing and he is joined by all the very best, including Rory McIlroy, who still seeks a green jacket to complete his major trophy cabinet.
What’s In The Winner’s Bag?
A little bit of experience will win here. Few first timers (only Fuzzy Zoeller) wins on their first time out. But winning after reaching a certain age might be tricky these days on such a long course.
The winner will be in their third or fourth Masters and probably have a name beginning with Jordan!
Horses For Courses
Jordan Spieth hasn’t finished outside the Top 3 in any of his first starts here. Justin Rose is trending well also, and hasn’t been outside the Top 25 since 2008.
Betting Picks & Tips – The Masters Tournament 2017
Jordan Spieth – After last year’s debacle, whilst leading, around Amen Corner, and following a comprehensive victory the year before, Jordan is certainly the favourite in my estimation again this year. He already has the pre-requisite early season victory under his belt from the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro Am. Adding to this is the very fact that Augusta plays into the Texan’s core strengths of wedging, chipping and putting. After his last three Masters performances it is difficult to see him not performing Top 5 again.
Bill Haas – I have been warned off picking Bill due to the very reasons I am picking him. A good friend who works high up the chain of Radio 5 Live command merely curled his lip at this pick, but it doesn’t put me off him. Seven appearances and seven made cuts makes him someone who isn’t intimidated by the course or venue. A best finish of T12 in 2015 doesn’t necessarily indicate a potential winner, but he looked good at WGC-Dell Match Play and looks in good form. It is also worth noting that scoring around Augusta is getting more difficult and any payer that can limit their mistakes will prosper.
Paul Casey – Has surprisingly picked up two Top 10s in the last two years and is as ‘due’ a win as anyone. Of course that doesn’t mean he will win, but he has maintained his form from the end of last season and this course does favour the Europeans. A bit more luck with the putter and Casey will pick that win up too.
Hideki Matsuyama – Our last pick is the somewhat out of form World No. 4. We would have liked to have some better recent form leading up to the Masters, but his recent dip belies somewhat his incredible form over the last six months. It is form that has only just been toppled by Dustin Johnson. Last year Hideki finished T7 and the year previous it was 5th. Clearly he likes what he sees at Augusta. The first major of the year always has a different feel to it and we can overlook recent finishes on tour. This is where it matters.
Dustin Johnson (13/2) is clearly in the form of his life right now, and Rory McIlroy might well be motivated for this one too. I would have like to have picked Justin Rose, but his putting remains patchy; at times unthreatening and partly atrocious. Jon Rahm (25/1) might well contend, but the nuances of Augusta might catch him out during his early visits.
Recommended Staking Plan
Jordan Spieth 8/1 (888sport) [4 points WIN]
Hideki Matsuyama 20/1 (SkyBet) [2 points WIN]
Paul Casey 50/1 (BetFred) [1 point EACH WAY]
Bill Haas 100/1 (SkyBet) [1 point EACH WAY]
Follow the #LetsTalkGolfTips on Twitter with @rossdstarkey
Meanwhile we’ll be putting ‘the usual’ on Rory McIlroy, you can read all about the #bettingonRory experiment here.
For more Augusta stats clicks here